We are really bad at predicting the future. But there is a way [Video]

Ha, what a mad fool… this example is probably completely apocryphal; but it does serve to highlight a problem that humans have with thinking about the future, which is the tendency to think that what happens in the future will mainly be like it is today, but there will be a bit more of it.

Future gazing is hard for humans because of our evolutionary limitations; we evolved to survive, not to get a clear view of the universe; as such, humans tend to see a part but think they are seeing the whole.

A big …