ESPNs FPI model gives Patriots best chance to earn 2025 No. 1 draft pick NBC Boston [Video]

The New England Patriots hit a new low point this week.

Not only did they suffer a deflating 32-16 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in last week’s game in London, head coach Jerod Mayo called the team soft in his postgame press conference. And then former head coach Bill Belichick responded to those comments on multiple platforms and made the story even larger.

Amid all of the drama, the Patriots have a 1-6 record at the bottom of the NFL standings.

They have lost six consecutive games for the first time since 1993. One positive from that season was the Patriots earned the No. 1 pick in the draft, and according to ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI), New England is the favorite to finish in that spot when the 2024 regular season concludes.

Here’s what ESPN’s analytics model says about the Patriots’ chances of getting the No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft: